“ Some suffer from an acute expert problem, producing cosmetic but fake knowledge, particularly in narrative disciplines…” ~ Nassim Taleb, The Black Swan. Periodic headlines scream ‘Environment Canada Blows Winter Forecast’ . The next day ‘Environment Canada Forecasts Warm Spring Ahead...’ The following day it’s ‘Groundhog Prophecies Mixed on spring’s Arrival’ . The media are stuck in a loop, rushing headlong to create the seasonal weather story every three months, overselling it as Weather You Should Fear Today! In the rapid-fire nothing-is-too-inconsequential-to-be-made-consequential twitter-verse, the next weather horror is never far away. Once established, the hair-brained scare is impossible to unseat. In 2010, it was ‘The Worst Winter in 50 Years’. In 2011, it was ‘the Coldest Winter in 20 Years’. The oversell nicely sets up the inevitable end-of-season follow-up story about the ‘blowing’ of it. It’s really much ado about nothing and enough to make a meteorologist moan. In...